Deep soil temperature as proxy for surface air-temperature in a coupled model simulation of the last thousand years
Fidel González-Rouco, Hans von Storch and Eduardo Zorita

Depto. de Astrofíca y Física de la Atmósfera, Universidad Complutense, Madrid
Institute of Coastal Research, GKSS Research Centre, Geesthacht, Germany
ABSTRACT


The relationship between terrestrial deep soil temperature (TDST) and surface te mperature (SAT) at interannual and centennial timescales has been investigated i n a simulation of the last millennium with a three-dimensional climate model d riven by estimations of historical external forcing. TDST is loosely related to borehole temperature profiles, which have been recently used to reconstruct long term temperature trends in the last centuries. Recently, questions about the v alidity of boreholes-based reconstructions have been raised. In the simulation, at interannual time scales the connection between TDST and S AT is stable in the simulation, being stronger in the summer half year than in t he winter half year. At long timescales, annual TDSL is a good proxy for annual SAT, and their variations are almost indistinguishable from each other. Both T DSL and terrestrial SAT overestimate the variations of global mean SAT. This may be a source for the disagreement between statistical reconstructions of global SAT and terrestrial borehole measurements.

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